Poisson Goal Simulator
Input expected goals (xG) for both teams to calculate the exact probability of every scoreline and betting market.
Expected Goals
1.6
1.2
Team A Win46.4%
Draw24.9%
Team B Win28.7%
Over 2.5 Goals52.7%
BTTS (Yes)55.7%
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| A \ B | 0 Goals | 1 Goal | 2 Goals | 3 Goals | 4 Goals | 5 Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Goals | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 Goal | 9.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 Goals | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 Goals | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 Goals | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 Goals | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |