Value Bet Calculator
Calculate the expected value (+EV) of a bet based on bookmaker odds and your calculated win probability.
Odds & True Probability
2.20
50%
Expected Value Output
Expected Value (+EV)
+10.0%
Positive Mathematical EdgeYour estimated probability (50%) is higher than the bookmaker's implied probability (45%).
🔥 Underdog Value Finder (ELO-Backed +EV Matches)
The following matches show scenarios where the FootballRoute ELO model yields a higher outcome probability than bookmakers' implied odds, indicating potential +EV underdog value bets:
+19.0% Value Edge
View Match Analysis →Mexico vs England
Bookmaker Odds: 3.40 (29% implied)
FootballRoute ELO Prob: 35%